2027 Lagos Guber Race: Opposition Mounts Against Seyi Tinubu, Obasa

As Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu continues his second term, political maneuvering for the 2027 gubernatorial election is already in full swing. From the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) to opposition parties, the race to Alausa is heating up, with high-profile contenders and influential stakeholders positioning themselves for the coveted seat.

Early Contenders Emerge

Among the APC aspirants, Seyi Tinubu, son of President Bola Tinubu; Lagos Assembly Speaker Mudashiru Obasa; former Governor Akinwunmi Ambode; and Senator Tokunbo Abiru have emerged as strong contenders. Seyi Tinubu has gained endorsements from groups like the Coalition of Nigerian Youth Leaders (CONYL), highlighting his entrepreneurial and philanthropic achievements. However, detractors like Joe Igbokwe have criticized his gubernatorial bid, labeling it premature and a distraction to his father’s presidency. He further argued that seyi Tinubu not matured and competent enough for the position;

Speaker Mudashiru Obasa, known for his grassroots appeal and political resilience, is also viewed as a formidable candidate. His ties to the influential Mandate Group and strong legislative record have bolstered his credibility. Meanwhile, calls for Akinwunmi Ambode’s return are growing, as some stakeholders push for a Christian continuity in Lagos leadership before power transitions back to a Muslim candidate.

Opposition’s Strategy

The main opposition parties, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP), are not sitting idle. Abdul-Aziz Olajide Adediran, popularly known as Jandor, and Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour have kept their ambitions alive. Jandor, a PDP stalwart, is realigning with party elders to consolidate his influence, while Rhodes-Vivour, the LP’s 2023 candidate, remains a favorite among urban youth and professionals.However lack of connection with the grassroots had been the bane of Rhodes Vivour Governorship bid

Both opposition leaders aim to leverage public dissatisfaction with APC’s governance to secure more grassroots support. Key issues such as zoning, indigeneship, and the religious composition of leadership will likely influence voter sentiment. As the campaign season nears, the PDP and LP will need to present unified fronts to challenge the APC’s dominance which might unlikely because of desperation of the two major opposition gladiators.

Zoning, Religion, and Indigeneship a decisive factor in Lagos Governorships race

Lagos State Governorships 2027 race has reignited debates about zoning, religion, and the representation of indigenous Lagosians. Since 1999, Lagos has largely been governed by non-indigenous politicians, sparking calls for a native Lagosian to take the helm. Groups like the Lagos Indigenous Youths Coalition have vowed to oppose non-indigenous candidates, urging traditional rulers to resist political endorsements based on convenience.The call for real Lagos indigene to take the reigns of Lagos State leadership had also gained momentum

The religious factor also looms large. With Governor Sanwo-Olu, a Christian, completing his tenure in 2027, some APC stakeholders advocate for power to shift back to a Muslim candidate. This sentiment fuels support for figures like Speaker Obasa, while others push for Ambode’s return to complete a symbolic balance in leadership tenure. The religious card are being played by some interested candidates in order to facilitate their preferences by the power broker in Lagos State political system

APC’s Internal Dynamics

Within the APC, internal power struggles and alliances could shape the outcome of the primaries. Party insiders believe President Tinubu’s influence will play a decisive role in selecting the APC candidate. Tinubu’s political acumen and history of springing surprises make the race unpredictable.

Speaker Obasa’s recent statements during the 2025 budget presentation suggested his alignment with APC’s unity efforts, despite his rumored gubernatorial ambitions. Obasa emphasized his commitment to the party, dispelling speculations about a rift between him and Seyi Tinubu. Meanwhile, party chairman Cornelius Ojelabi dismissed claims of infighting, describing them as fabrications by political detractors.

The 2027 Lagos gubernatorial race is shaping up to be a high-stakes political battle. With zoning, religion, and indigeneship dominating discussions, the stakes are high for both APC and opposition parties. As endorsements and alliances take center stage, Lagosians eagerly await to see who will emerge as the torchbearer for Africa’s largest city-state.